Model analysis of early SIV evolution in SIVsmE660- and SIVmac251-infected rhesus macaques
| Subject | Sample time | Infection route | No. of sequences examined | Max. HD | BEAST estimated days since MRCA (95% CI) | Poisson estimated days since MRCA (95% CI) | λa | SDb | Goodness of fit p-valuec |
| SIVsmE660-infected animals | |||||||||
| CG7V | Ramp-up | i.r. | 39 | 2 | 6 (3,8) | 0.308 | 0.082 | 0.584 | |
| Peak | i.r. | 23 | 4 | 12 (8,19) | 13 (7,20) | 0.762 | 0.190 | 0.840 | |
| CP3C | Ramp-up | i.r. | 19 | 3 | 13 (6,20) | 1.053 | 0.189 | 0.913 | |
| Peak | i.r. | 10 | 3 | 17 (10,29) | 11 (3,18) | 1.000 | 0.220 | 0.815 | |
| CG87 | Ramp-up | i.r. | 23 | 4 | 15 (8,22) | 0.854 | 0.210 | 0.663 | |
| Peak | i.r. | 33 | 4 | 20 (12,34) | 23 (18,28) | 1.311 | 0.156 | 0.220 | |
| CG7G | Ramp-up | i.r. | 18 | 2 | 12 (6,17) | 0.667 | 0.159 | 0.317 | |
| Peak | i.r. | 17 | 3 | 16 (10,27) | 13 (6,20) | 0.750 | 0.209 | 0.865 | |
| AK9F | Peak | i.r. | 19 | 4 | 12 (2,43) | 14 (7,22) | 0.807 | 0.216 | 0.886 |
| CP37d | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| CP23 | 2 wk after peak | i.r. | 37 | 8 | 50 (28,84) | 55 (47,62) | 3.129 | 0.221 | 0.038 |
| CR54 | Peak | i.v. | 17 | 3 | 14 (2,52) | 12 (5,20) | 0.706 | 0.206 | 0.874 |
| SIVmac251-infected animals | |||||||||
| CP1W | Ramp-up | i.r. | 69 | 4 | 6 (1,10) | 0.316 | 0.123 | 0.654 | |
| Peak | i.r. | 68 | 4 | 12 (8,20) | 10 (5,15) | 0.552 | 0.143 | 0.906 | |
| CT76 | Ramp-up | i.r. | 20 | 3 | 17 (10,24) | 0.968 | 0.208 | 0.809 | |
| Peak | i.r. | 22 | 3 | 16 (7,34) | 7 (1,12) | 0.455 | 0.153 | 0.701 | |
| PBE | Ramp-up | i.r. | 17 | 2 | 6 (2,11) | 0.353 | 0.139 | 0.646 | |
| Peak | i.r. | 24 | 4 | 13 (8,21) | 12 (7,17) | 0.667 | 0.142 | 0.211 | |
| CR2A | Ramp-up | i.r. | 19 | 3 | 2 (0,5) | 0.105 | 0.077 | 0.750 | |
| Peak | i.r. | 27 | 2 | 8 (7,14) | 5 (2,9) | 0.296 | 0.101 | 0.637 | |
| CR53 | Peak | i.r. | 30 | 4 | 12 (3,58) | 12 (6,18) | 0.667 | 0.166 | 0.478 |
| AV74 | Ramp-up | i.v. | 35 | 3 | 5 (2,9) | 0.284 | 0.103 | 0.703 | |
| Peak | i.v. | 36 | 3 | 12 (8,20) | 14 (8,20) | 0.778 | 0.174 | 0.621 | |
| AH4X | Peak | i.r. | 21 | 6 | 11 (2,80) | 10 (4,16) | 0.561 | 0.173 | 0.894 |
| CG71 | Ramp-up | i.v. | 22 | 2 | 7 (2,11) | 0.364 | 0.124 | 0.617 | |
| Peak | i.v. | 16 | 5 | 14 (8,25) | 17 (8,27) | 0.983 | 0.279 | 0.630 | |
| CG5G | Ramp-up | i.v. | 24 | 4 | 6 (1,11) | 0.333 | 0.137 | 0.655 | |
| Peak | i.v. | 17 | 4 | 9 (7,14) | 6 (2,11) | 0.353 | 0.136 | 0.646 | |
| AV66 | Ramp-up | i.r. | 20 | 2 | 5 (1,9) | 0.300 | 0.115 | 0.657 | |
| Peak | i.r. | 24 | 2 | 9 (7,28) | 3 (0,6) | 0.167 | 0.082 | 0.713 | |
| Subject | Sample time | Infection route | No. of sequences examined | Max. HD | BEAST estimated days since MRCA (95% CI) | Poisson estimated days since MRCA (95% CI) | λa | SDb | Goodness of fit p-valuec |
| SIVsmE660-infected animals | |||||||||
| CG7V | Ramp-up | i.r. | 39 | 2 | 6 (3,8) | 0.308 | 0.082 | 0.584 | |
| Peak | i.r. | 23 | 4 | 12 (8,19) | 13 (7,20) | 0.762 | 0.190 | 0.840 | |
| CP3C | Ramp-up | i.r. | 19 | 3 | 13 (6,20) | 1.053 | 0.189 | 0.913 | |
| Peak | i.r. | 10 | 3 | 17 (10,29) | 11 (3,18) | 1.000 | 0.220 | 0.815 | |
| CG87 | Ramp-up | i.r. | 23 | 4 | 15 (8,22) | 0.854 | 0.210 | 0.663 | |
| Peak | i.r. | 33 | 4 | 20 (12,34) | 23 (18,28) | 1.311 | 0.156 | 0.220 | |
| CG7G | Ramp-up | i.r. | 18 | 2 | 12 (6,17) | 0.667 | 0.159 | 0.317 | |
| Peak | i.r. | 17 | 3 | 16 (10,27) | 13 (6,20) | 0.750 | 0.209 | 0.865 | |
| AK9F | Peak | i.r. | 19 | 4 | 12 (2,43) | 14 (7,22) | 0.807 | 0.216 | 0.886 |
| CP37d | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| CP23 | 2 wk after peak | i.r. | 37 | 8 | 50 (28,84) | 55 (47,62) | 3.129 | 0.221 | 0.038 |
| CR54 | Peak | i.v. | 17 | 3 | 14 (2,52) | 12 (5,20) | 0.706 | 0.206 | 0.874 |
| SIVmac251-infected animals | |||||||||
| CP1W | Ramp-up | i.r. | 69 | 4 | 6 (1,10) | 0.316 | 0.123 | 0.654 | |
| Peak | i.r. | 68 | 4 | 12 (8,20) | 10 (5,15) | 0.552 | 0.143 | 0.906 | |
| CT76 | Ramp-up | i.r. | 20 | 3 | 17 (10,24) | 0.968 | 0.208 | 0.809 | |
| Peak | i.r. | 22 | 3 | 16 (7,34) | 7 (1,12) | 0.455 | 0.153 | 0.701 | |
| PBE | Ramp-up | i.r. | 17 | 2 | 6 (2,11) | 0.353 | 0.139 | 0.646 | |
| Peak | i.r. | 24 | 4 | 13 (8,21) | 12 (7,17) | 0.667 | 0.142 | 0.211 | |
| CR2A | Ramp-up | i.r. | 19 | 3 | 2 (0,5) | 0.105 | 0.077 | 0.750 | |
| Peak | i.r. | 27 | 2 | 8 (7,14) | 5 (2,9) | 0.296 | 0.101 | 0.637 | |
| CR53 | Peak | i.r. | 30 | 4 | 12 (3,58) | 12 (6,18) | 0.667 | 0.166 | 0.478 |
| AV74 | Ramp-up | i.v. | 35 | 3 | 5 (2,9) | 0.284 | 0.103 | 0.703 | |
| Peak | i.v. | 36 | 3 | 12 (8,20) | 14 (8,20) | 0.778 | 0.174 | 0.621 | |
| AH4X | Peak | i.r. | 21 | 6 | 11 (2,80) | 10 (4,16) | 0.561 | 0.173 | 0.894 |
| CG71 | Ramp-up | i.v. | 22 | 2 | 7 (2,11) | 0.364 | 0.124 | 0.617 | |
| Peak | i.v. | 16 | 5 | 14 (8,25) | 17 (8,27) | 0.983 | 0.279 | 0.630 | |
| CG5G | Ramp-up | i.v. | 24 | 4 | 6 (1,11) | 0.333 | 0.137 | 0.655 | |
| Peak | i.v. | 17 | 4 | 9 (7,14) | 6 (2,11) | 0.353 | 0.136 | 0.646 | |
| AV66 | Ramp-up | i.r. | 20 | 2 | 5 (1,9) | 0.300 | 0.115 | 0.657 | |
| Peak | i.r. | 24 | 2 | 9 (7,28) | 3 (0,6) | 0.167 | 0.082 | 0.713 | |